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Analysts expect the Central Bank of the Russian Federation to reduce the key rate to 12-13% by the end of 2026. Since June 1, the government has been changing the mechanism of business subsidies: the calculation of compensation is linked to three ranges of the Central Bank's rate. At the current 14.5%, the maximum subsidy will be 3.25 percentage points for importers and logistics companies planning credit financing, as the horizon for reducing the cost of money is getting closer.

The Ministry of Industry and Trade has outlined the parameters of a transport subsidy for NEE exporters for 2026: compensation of up to 60% of the actual cost of delivery, but not more than 11% of the cost of shipments for the period and not more than 200 million rubles per company. The budget for 2026 has been reduced to 2.46 billion rubles, so competition for support will increase. The range of participants is additionally expanding — in 2026, chemical industry enterprises will also be able to