Bitcoin is coming to the end of November with results that the market has not seen in almost three years. The cryptocurrency has lost over 20% of its value since the beginning of the month, and if the dynamics do not change, November will be the worst period for BTC since the collapse of mid-2022. Then the market decline was accompanied by a series of high-profile bankruptcies and the destruction of several large projects.
In early November, bitcoin was trading at about $110,000, but by the 21st, the price had dropped to $83,000, dropping to $80,500 at the moment. Ethereum also recorded a sharp drop, dropping by almost 30% and reaching the level of $2.7 thousand. Fears have increased in the market about the presence of a "forced seller" — a participant whose positions are beginning to be liquidated due to a lack of collateral. According to Bloomberg experts, this situation may indicate financial difficulties for one of the major market makers.
The picture is compounded by a significant outflow of capital from cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs). According to Sosovalue, on November 20 alone, more than $900 million was withdrawn from bitcoin ETFs, which is the second largest daily outflow in the entire history of such funds. Since the beginning of the month, the total outflow from BTC-based funds has exceeded $3.8 billion, which could be a historic anti-record.
The situation for Ethereum-focused funds is not the best either: of the 14 trading days in November, only one closed in positive territory, and the total outflow reached $1.8 billion. This dynamic increases pressure on the market and reduces investors' interest in risky assets.
Against the background of the fall of the largest cryptocurrencies, sentiment indicators have reached extreme values. The CoinMarketCap fear and greed index fell to a historic low of 11 points. This is a level typical of panic moods, when investors massively sell off assets. A similar Alternative index is fixed at 14, which also belongs to the "fear" zone, although it is higher than the record lows of 2022.
At the same time, the altcoin market has shown unexpected resilience. The TOTAL3 index, which tracks the capitalization of cryptocurrencies with the exception of BTC and ETH, decreased by only 16% — significantly less than the leading assets. According to CoinMarketCap, of the top 50, only 22 altcoins fell more than bitcoin, and eight of them even increased in price — individual assets showed growth from 40% to 140%.
The share of bitcoin in the total capitalization of the crypto market also decreased — from the November peak, the indicator decreased by 4 percentage points and amounted to 59%. Usually, the decline in BTC dominance is regarded as the beginning of the "altcoin season," but this time it's not about the growth of alternative assets, but about the imbalance of decline among the major cryptocurrencies.
The current situation reflects a general increase in uncertainty in the market, where at the same time there are signs of liquidations, weakness of major players and sharp changes in investor sentiment.
