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Central Bank rate by the end of 2026: forecast 12-13%

Analysts expect the Central Bank of the Russian Federation to reduce the key rate to 12-13% by the end of 2026. Since June 1, the government has been changing the mechanism of business subsidies: the calculation of compensation is linked to three ranges of the Central Bank's rate. At the current 14.5%, the maximum subsidy will be 3.25 percentage points for importers and logistics companies planning credit financing, as the horizon for reducing the cost of money is getting closer.

Economy

FCS switches to AI — Rosatom will rebuild the entire customs IT system by 2028

1,260 10.05

The Russian government has appointed Rosatom's AT Consulting as the sole contractor for the development and modernization of the FCS IT systems until March 15, 2028. The project is based on artificial intelligence to analyze declarations, identify gray schemes and predict the load on checkpoints. The entire EAEU system will then move to an import-independent infrastructure.

Customs and International Trade

A sole proprietor with several PVZS can apply the AUSN — the Federal Tax Service gave the answer

646 09.05

The Federal Tax Service for the Primorsky Territory answered a question that worries many entrepreneurs who develop PVZ networks: does an individual entrepreneur have the right to apply an automated control system if he has several points of work in the same city? The answer is yes, I have the right. The main thing is to comply with the remaining conditions of Law No. 17-FZ. The concept of a "separate unit" does not apply to sole proprietors at all.

Marketplaces

Russia has approved a new GOST for warehouses, PVZ and hypermarkets

475 05.05

Russia has approved an updated national standard for commercial and warehouse infrastructure - warehouses, pick—up points and hypermarkets. The new GOST sets requirements for the location, area, equipment and safety of facilities. These are new basic standards for importers who rent or build logistics for marketplaces.

Warehouses and cargo terminals

Wildberries raised its PVZ payments by 36%, after last year's minus 25%

1,453 05.05

Wildberries increased the total amount of payments to the owners of pick-up points by 36% in the first quarter of 2026 compared to the same period in 2025. A year ago, the situation was reversed: in 2025, payments decreased by 25%. The growth is driven by the growth of basic operations and new sources of income for the PVZ.

Marketplaces

Russia and Azerbaijan launch conditions for e-CMR in road transportation

1,563 17.04

Russia and Azerbaijan have agreed on steps to implement the e-CMR electronic international consignment note. The action plan should simplify the regime of international road transport and support digitalization at the border. At the same time, the parties discussed the development of checkpoints and the North—South corridor

EDI and IT in Logistics

They want to cross the border in 10 minutes by 2030: what is being changed at the checkpoint

884 09.04

Rosgranstroy presented a program for the digital transformation of checkpoints: automation, intelligent control and expanded preliminary information about cargo should reduce border crossing by trucks to 10 minutes by 2030. They plan to introduce an "intelligent pass" in priority areas, while maintaining the standard mode for those who are not ready for advanced data.

Warehouses and cargo terminals

Azerbaijan has stopped cargo transportation on the border with Iran

2,006 06.03

Azerbaijan has temporarily stopped the movement of trucks across the border with Iran. The decision was made after the incident with drones in the Nakhichevan Autonomous Republic. The restriction applies to all checkpoints and applies to both two-way traffic and transit routes.

Cargo transportation

The Federal Tax Service tightens taxes on sellers' bonus points: income is recognized upon accrual

1,987 10.02

The Federal Tax Service is changing its approach to bonus points on marketplaces: payments that compensate for sellers' discounts are increasingly being interpreted as an economic benefit and should be included in the tax base. The key dispute is when to recognize income: when awarding points or only when they are "monetized". The regulator's new view may force sellers to recalculate the economics of promotions, restructure accounting, and more closely compare reports with site data.

Marketplaces

The border with China will open in February: the Federal Customs Service announced the dates of the closure of checkpoints for the Lunar New Year

2,686 06.02

The Federal Customs Service warned about a change in the operating mode of checkpoints on the border with China in February 2026 due to the Lunar New Year. Several destinations will be closed for 3-5 days, which may cause queues, downtime, and warehouse congestion after opening. We tell you which transitions will be paused and how the business of foreign economic activity can adjust the delivery schedule in advance.

Cargo transportation

Why is the container 2.44×2.59 m: a standard that has been "adjusted" to roads, railways and ports

2,464 04.02

The size of the container is not a "historical accident", but an engineering compromise for the global infrastructure. The width of 2,438 m and height of 2,591 m are fixed by ISO standards, so that the container can pass the sea, port, railway and road equally confidently without special permits. And the 20/40-foot lengths are the math of docking so that the fasteners and corner points match during transportation and stacking. As a result, containerization has made logistics cheaper not by magic

Cargo transportation

PVZ in Russia increased by 44.7% over the year: 226,400 points by January 1, 2026.

1,420 26.01

The network of pick-up points in Russia grew by 44.7% over the year and reached 226,400 operating points by January 1, 2026. Small towns and settlements have provided the main growth, while megacities are approaching saturation. We look at why PVZS have become the key infrastructure of the "last mile", how this is related to import chains, and why in 2026 the market is likely to shift from expansion to a struggle for quality and profitability.

Marketplaces

Ozon has started to transfer PVZ for free: new owners without payment and a deposit of 30,000 rubles

1,722 26.01

Ozon has launched a free transfer of pick—up points to new owners in order to save points that partners are going to close, but which are important for network coverage. The new owners are promised zero entry costs and no security payment, and the format and tariff of the PVZ remain. We look at how the scheme works, who benefits from it, and what checks an entrepreneur needs to make before “buying for zero.”

Marketplaces

Russia and Namibia expand trade cooperation

1,984 17.01

Russia and Namibia have agreed to step up trade and economic cooperation and expand business cooperation. At the working meeting, representatives of the two countries discussed the prospects of Russian business participation in projects in Namibia, the development of financial infrastructure and the search for new growth points for mutually beneficial partnership.

Customs and International Trade

China's key exhibitions in 2026: where to go for business in foreign economic activity

1,930 05.01

In 2026, China will host a series of key international exhibitions, which remain the most important entry points for businesses in the field of foreign economic activity. Personal involvement allows you to build direct relationships with manufacturers, reduce costs and find reliable partners without intermediaries.

Customs and International Trade

The Ministry of Industry and Trade will prohibit marketplaces from putting pressure on PVZ owners

1,939 16.12

The Ministry of Industry and Trade is preparing amendments that may change the rules of operation of order pick-up points in Russia. The agency proposes to ban marketplaces from discriminating against multi-brand PVZS and actually force entrepreneurs to work with only one platform. The initiative is aimed at protecting small businesses and increasing competition in the e-commerce market.

Marketplaces

Snowstorm paralyzed cargo transportation: Ural highways stopped due to trucks

3,140 15.12

Heavy snowfall and blizzard in the Urals led to the suspension of freight traffic on a number of key routes. Multi-kilometer traffic jams from trucks, blocked roads and heating points for drivers were the result of a sharp deterioration in the weather, which coincided with the beginning of the high season of transportation.

Commercial vehicles

Russia will reduce the time of truck inspection at the border to 10 minutes

2,549 06.12

Russia is starting to reform checkpoints, aiming to reduce the time of inspection of cargo transport to 10 minutes. Thanks to the introduction of intelligent control systems, digital platforms and automated complexes, the country plans to significantly increase the speed of cargo handling and improve the efficiency of cross-border logistics.

Customs and International Trade

Russia expects a sharp increase in the flow of tourists from China after the abolition of visas

2,611 05.12

Russia and China are taking a new step towards expanding humanitarian and tourist ties: from December 2025, Chinese citizens will be able to cross the Russian border without a visa. Already in the early days, the decree led to an increase in the number of tourists at the Far Eastern checkpoints. It is expected that the simplification of entry will significantly increase the flow of travelers and strengthen cooperation between the two countries.

Policy

In Russia, it was proposed to introduce a separate tax regime for order pick-up points

1,948 29.10

The Association of e-commerce Market Participants proposed to introduce a separate tax regime and the OKVED for order pick-up points in order to eliminate legal uncertainty and simplify taxation.

Marketplaces

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